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Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has moved into the top spot in Kalshi’s Heisman Trophy prediction market, where he was listed at 19% on Sept. 22. That put him just ahead of Miami quarterback Darian Mensah, who was second at 18% after leading the market for the prior two weeks.
The move followed Ole Miss’s win over LSU, which the source described as the Rebels’ biggest victory of the season so far. According to the source, Chambliss had been priced at 7% after Week 3, meaning his market position improved by 12 percentage points over the following week.
Chambliss jumped after Ole Miss’s win over LSU
Through three weeks, Chambliss had posted 924 passing yards, seven passing touchdowns, two interceptions, 64 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns. The source also highlighted two signature performances already on Ole Miss’s schedule: 336 passing yards and four total touchdowns against then-No. 24 Louisville in Week 1, and 363 passing yards with three total touchdowns against No. 7 LSU in Week 3.
Kalshi’s market also listed Kamario Taylor at 10%, Jeremiah Smith at 9%, and Arch Manning at 6%.
The source noted that a $10 trade on Chambliss to win the Heisman would return a profit of $39.78 if he ultimately won.
What bettors and market watchers may watch next
Chambliss’s case is tied not only to his early production, but also to the schedule ahead. Ole Miss had two top-25 wins at the time of publication and still had five ranked opponents remaining: No. 21 Florida, No. 19 Missouri, No. 1 Texas, No. 2 Georgia, and No. 24 Mississippi State.
That remaining slate could give Kalshi traders more high-profile data points in the weeks ahead, starting with Ole Miss’s scheduled Week 5 road game at Florida.
The source also pointed to Chambliss’s broader résumé. Last season at Ole Miss, he threw for 3,937 yards and 22 touchdowns with three interceptions, while adding 527 rushing yards and eight rushing scores. He finished in the top 10 of Heisman voting and received two first-place votes. Before that, at Ferris State, he finished third in Harlon Hill Trophy voting and totaled 50 touchdowns.
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Source: As reported by Samuel Profeta.
