Share 
Robinhood has posted a Florida-focused prediction markets page showing 2026 election contract probabilities across statewide and congressional primary races.
The page, published July 22, lists nomination markets for Florida governor, U.S. Senate and multiple U.S. House districts. It includes both Republican and Democratic contests and displays percentage-based probabilities for individual candidates.
Among the highest-profile statewide markets on the page, Byron Donalds is listed at 96.6% for the Florida Republican governor nomination, while David Jolly is shown at 99% for the Florida Democratic governor nomination. In the Senate markets, Ashley Moody is listed at 99% for the Florida Republican nomination and Alexander Vindman at 92% for the Florida Democratic nomination.
Robinhood’s page also extends well beyond the statewide races. It includes nomination markets for congressional districts across Florida, including FL-01 through FL-28. Examples listed on the page include Jimmy Patronis at 96% for the FL-01 Republican nomination, Mike Haridopolos at 98% for the FL-08 Republican nomination, Maria Elvira Salazar at 98% for the FL-27 Republican nomination and Phil Ehr at 98% for the FL-28 Democratic nomination.
Some markets appear more competitive than the near-lock statewide listings. In FL-02, Keith Gross is shown at 51% for the Republican nomination, ahead of Evan Power at 29% and Jim Norton at 12%. In FL-09, Thomas Chalifoux is listed at 44% for the Republican nomination. The page also includes a vote-share style market tied to James Fishback in the Florida Republican governor primary, with 48% for at least 1%, 46% for at least 3% and 41% for at least 5%.
For readers, the main takeaway is that Robinhood is presenting Florida election event contracts as a live prediction-markets product rather than as a traditional news forecast. The page does not explain methodology or trading volume, and the source snapshot does not say whether every listed market was active at the time it was captured.
A disclaimer on the page states: “Futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone.” It also says event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, “a registered futures commission merchant and swap firm.”
—
Source: As reported by robinhood.com.
